收稿日期:
2023-02-24
修回日期:
2023-03-22
接受日期:
2023-04-21
出版日期:
2023-11-25
发布日期:
2023-04-21
通讯作者:
熊芬芬
E-mail:fenfenx@bit.edu.cn
基金资助:
Fenfen XIONG1(), Zexian LI1, Yu LIU2, Tangfan XIAHOU2
Received:
2023-02-24
Revised:
2023-03-22
Accepted:
2023-04-21
Online:
2023-11-25
Published:
2023-04-21
Contact:
Fenfen XIONG
E-mail:fenfenx@bit.edu.cn
Supported by:
摘要:
现代工程设计大量使用数值模拟技术,然而数值模拟中仿真模型、几何参数、工作载荷、环境条件等均存在不确定性,这些不确定性直接影响数值模拟结果的可信度,尤其在研发对性能和可靠性要求严苛的装备时,忽略这些不确定性将产生潜在风险,因此在基于数值模拟的工程设计中开展不确定性量化意义重大。不确定性表征既是准确开展不确定性量化和优化设计工作的前提,也是工程精细化设计的重要支撑。本文阐述了基于数值模拟的工程设计中所面临的不确定性因素,根据不确定性因素的表现形式和可用信息,按照概率表征和非概率表征两大类总结了目前主流的参数不确定性表征方法,介绍了各种表征方法的基本思想、主要原理、适用范围以及方法在工程实践中的发展和应用,并简要阐述基于不确定性表征结果进行不确定性传播的基本思路,最后对不确定性表征的研究方向进行了展望。
中图分类号:
熊芬芬, 李泽贤, 刘宇, 夏侯唐凡. 基于数值模拟的工程设计中参数不确定性表征方法研究综述[J]. 航空学报, 2023, 44(22): 28611-028611.
Fenfen XIONG, Zexian LI, Yu LIU, Tangfan XIAHOU. A review of characterization methods for parameter uncertainty in engineering design based on numerical simulation[J]. Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica, 2023, 44(22): 28611-028611.
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