航空发动机不确定性设计体系探讨

doi:10.7527/S1000-6893.2022.27099

Abstract

Abstract:

A significant number of random and epistemic uncertainties exist in the whole life cycle of an aeroengine， causing problems such as a long design iteration cycle， low manufacturing qualification rate， and difficulties in maintenance. Recent years have witnessed a series of research on uncertainty analysis at home and abroad； however， the uncertainty design system of aeroengines has not been proposed systematically at the theoretical level. Based on the current deterministic design system and the results of uncertainty research， this paper discusses the construction of the uncertainty-based design system and realization of the design system reform for aeroengines. The uncertainty factors and their influence on aeroengines are first summarized， followed by discussion of the definition and necessity of the uncertainty-based design system. The ultimate goal of the uncertainty-based design system is to achieve successful research and development with a single iteration. The performance distribution is quantitatively evaluated and controlled at each design stage to produce a comprehensive optimal design scheme in terms of performance， reliability， robustness， and costs in the whole life cycle. Based on this definition， the basic elements of the uncertainty-based design system are analyzed， including the process， method， platform， specification， and organization. Finally， the periodic prospects， expected benefits， and challenges of the uncertainty-based design system are presented.

Key words: aeroengine, uncertainty analysis, robust design, reliability-based design, design system

CLC Number:

V235.1

Xinqian ZHENG, Junying WANG, Weina HUANG, Yu FU, Ronghui CHENG, Hongyang XIONG. Uncertainty⁃based design system for aeroengines[J]. ACTA AERONAUTICAET ASTRONAUTICA SINICA, 2023, 44(7): 27099-027099.

Figures/Tables 13

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Uncertainty⁃based design system for aeroengines

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