关键词: 大数据, 数据缺失, 深度卷积生成对抗网络(DCGAN), K-S非参数检验, 剩余寿命预测

Abstract: Data-driven Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction methods are designed to determine the remaining useful time of the equipment through analyzing and modeling the equipment operation monitoring data; hence, data quality is directly related to prediction accuracy. The development of sensor technology and popularization of the Internet of Things induce the exponential growth of the data scale; however, massive data often face the data missing problem, imposing critical impact on the accuracy of modeling and the reliability of decision-making. Aiming at the problem of RUL prediction with missing data, this paper proposes a generation method for missing data based on the Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (DCGAN). This method uses a deep convolutional network to learn the true distribution, fills in the missing data based on the powerful learning ability of the Generative Adversarial Network (GAN), and improves the network defects of unstable training and too free modeling in combination with the idea of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) non-parametric test. A Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) network is further adopted to establish a device degradation trend prediction model, and the RUL prediction is realized by prediction of the time for the degradation to exceed the failure threshold. The proposed method is validated based on the lithium battery degradation data. The RUL prediction results with the complete data, the generated data, as well as the missing data, respectively, are compared to further demonstrate the superiority of this method in solving the missing data problem. The robustness of the RUL prediction towards missing data can also be improved.

Key words: big data, data missing, Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (DCGAN), Kolmogorov-Smirnov non-parametric test, remaining useful life prediction