航空学报 > 2022, Vol. 43 Issue (10): 527505-527505   doi: 10.7527/S1000-6893.2022.27505

可靠性系统工程理论研究回顾与展望

康锐1,2, 王自力1,2   

  1. 1. 北京航空航天大学 可靠性与系统工程学院, 北京 100191;
    2. 可靠性与环境工程技术国防科技重点实验室, 北京 100191
  • 收稿日期:2022-05-24 修回日期:2022-06-14 发布日期:2022-06-24
  • 通讯作者: 康锐,E-mail:kangrui@buaa.edu.cn E-mail:kangrui@buaa.edu.cn

Reliability systems engineering: A research review and prospect

KANG Rui1,2, WANG Zili1,2   

  1. 1. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China;
    2. Key Laboratory on Reliability and Environmental Engineering Technology, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
  • Received:2022-05-24 Revised:2022-06-14 Published:2022-06-24

摘要: 可靠性系统工程理论是20世纪末期我国可靠性领域的重大理论与实践创新成果。历经30余年的发展,可靠性系统工程理论已日臻完善,逐渐成为指导我国可靠性技术与实践发展的理论基础。本文系统性回顾了可靠性系统工程的发展历程和技术脉络,全面介绍了可靠性系统工程的概念内涵,重点分析了可靠性系统工程理论与技术框架、综合集成理论体系、确信可靠性理论等研究成果。在此基础上,从可靠性系统工程向可靠性系统科学演变的角度,介绍国内外的研究和讨论情况,并从哲学角度分析了可靠性科学存在的合法性。最后,提出了可靠性系统工程理论的发展设想,展望了可靠性系统科学与工程新学科的发展愿景。

关键词: 可靠性, 可靠性系统工程, 确信可靠性, 可靠性系统科学与工程, 技术科学

Abstract: The reliability systems engineering theory is a major theoretical and practical innovation in the field of reliability in China at the end of the 20th century. After over 30 years of development, it has been significantly refined and gradually become an important fundamental theory in the development of reliability technology and practice. This paper systematically reviews the existing reliability systems engineering theories, methods and techniques, and provides research foresight and future prospects for the development of theories and construction of new disciplines. Firstly, the origin and basic concepts of reliability systems engineering theories are reviewed, and the research methods of reliability systems engineering are introduced. Secondly, the technical framework and comprehensive integration system of reliability systems engineering are summarized, and the development process of reliability systems engineering is presented. On this basis, the latest reliability science achievement of the belief reliability theory is briefly introduced from the perspective of the evolution of reliability systems engineering to reliability systems science, and the validity of reliability science is analyzed philosophically. Finally, the development prospects of reliability systems engineering theory is proposed, and the bright vision of the new discipline of reliability systems science and engineering is foreseen.

Key words: reliability, reliability systems engineering, belief reliability, reliability systems science and engineering, technological sciences

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