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Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (21): 532180.doi: 10.7527/S1000-6893.2025.32180

• Special Issue: 60th Anniversary of Aircraft Strength Research Institute of China •    

A multi-fidelity data-driven framework for predicting mechanical property distributions of composite structures and its validation

Kairui TANG1, Zhe WANG2,3, Xiangming CHEN3, Baorang CUI4, Yanhui CHEN4, Puhui CHEN1()   

  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Mechanics and Control of Mechanical Structures,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China
    2.School of Aeronautic Science and Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China
    3.National Key Laboratory of Strength and Structural Integrity,Aircraft Strength Research Institute of China,Xi’an 710065,China
    4.Center of Composite Materials,COMAC Shanghai Aircraft Manufacturing Company Limited,Shanghai 200123,China
  • Received:2025-04-29 Revised:2025-06-17 Accepted:2025-07-03 Online:2025-07-21 Published:2025-07-15
  • Contact: Puhui CHEN E-mail:phchen@nuaa.edu.cn

Abstract:

The failure mechanisms of carbon-fiber-reinforced composites are complex, and experimental tests are costly. Traditional finite element methods, limited by current theoretical models, struggle to accurately simulate the entire failure process and exhibit significant cumulative errors, complicating precise modeling and uncertainty quantification. Machine learning approaches offer a promising alternative but generally require extensive datasets to achieve satisfactory performance. We present a multi-fidelity data-driven framework that blends a small set of high-fidelity test results with an extensive collection of low-fidelity simulation data to predict the distribution of mechanical properties in composite structures. The framework is validated through tensile-failure experiments on notched laminates. To improve the statistical representativeness of the limited experimental samples, we introduce a Bayesian data-augmentation scheme and derive the theoretical distribution of the inter-group coefficient of variation to confirm its soundness. Cross-validation shows that the proposed method attains a mean absolute error of 4.99% when predicting the 10th percentile of the failure-load distribution. The study mitigates the twin challenges of scarce experimental data and weak coupling between numerical models and physical tests.

Key words: composite materials, notched laminates, Bayesian theory, multi-fidelity methods, failure load distribution prediction

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