空间碎片再入烧蚀预测与地面安全评估软件系统

doi:CNKI:11-1929/V.20101229.1628.004

流体力学与飞行力学

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空间碎片再入烧蚀预测与地面安全评估软件系统

胡锐锋¹, 吴子牛¹, 曲溪², 王翔²

1. 清华大学航天航空学院, 北京 100084
2. 中国空间技术研究院, 北京 100094

收稿日期:2010-06-11 修回日期:2010-10-15 出版日期:2011-03-25 发布日期:2011-03-24
作者简介:胡锐锋(1984- ) 男,博士研究生。主要研究方向:空气动力学。 Tel: 010-62773794 E-mail: hudf03@mails.thu.edu.cn 吴子牛(1963- ) 男,博士,教授,博士生导师。主要研究方向:空气动力学。 Tel: 010-62784116 E-mail: ziniuwu@tsinghua.edu.cn 曲溪(1982- ) 女,硕士,工程师。主要研究方向:飞行器总体设计。 Tel: 010-68744810 E-mail: zhaikun@tsinghua.edu.cn 王翔(1973-) 男,博士,高级工程师。主要研究方向:飞行器总体设计。 Tel: 010-68747316 E-mail: wangxiang0223@gmail.com

Debris Reentry and Ablation Prediction and Ground Risk Assessment Software System

HU Ruifeng¹, WU Ziniu¹, QU Xi², WANG Xiang²

1. School of Aerospace, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2. China Academy of Space Technology, Beijing 100094, China

Received:2010-06-11 Revised:2010-10-15 Online:2011-03-25 Published:2011-03-24

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 再入航天器解体产生的空间碎片在高速气体加热作用下发生烧蚀,残存碎片对地面造成很大威胁。开发空间碎片再入烧蚀预测与地面安全评估软件系统(DRAPS),建立碎片三自由度(3DOF)弹道模型,在连续流、自由分子流和过渡区流分别采用牛顿流模型、无碰撞分子动理论和桥函数方法进行碎片气动力/气动热预测,利用零维或一维热传导模型模拟材料烧蚀过程,在高度准则基础上建立考虑烧蚀效应的多种解体模型,形成航天器/碎片再入烧蚀预测与仿真分析界面化软件。研究结果表明:软件预测能力和预测结果与国外类似软件基本相同,该软件能用于更多复杂的碎片外形,并提供更具物理意义的解体模型。

关键词: 空间碎片, 再入, 烧蚀, 风险评估, 评估软件系统

Abstract: Debris generated by spacecraft breakup enters the atmosphere with ablation due to hypersonic aerodynamic heating. The survived fragments would pose great risks to the ground and people. This study aims at developing a debris reentry and ablation prediction system (DRAPS) for rapid prediction of spacecraft and debris reentry and ablation. A three degree of freedom (3DOF) ballistic model is used for predicting the spacecraft and debris trajectories. The Newtonian flow theory, collisionless molecular kinetic theory and bridging method are adopted respectively for aerodynamic and aerothermodynamic prediction in the hypersonic continuum flow region, the free molecular flow region and the transitional flow region. A zero or one dimensional heat conduction model is established for ablation analysis, and several breakup models are built concerning the ablation effect. The capability and accuracy of the current software are similar to other existing debris reentry prediction tools. However, the present tool integrates more physical breakup models and can be used for debris with more complex shapes.

Key words: space debris, reentry, ablation, risk assessment, assessment software system

中图分类号:

V411.8

胡锐锋, 吴子牛, 曲溪, 王翔. 空间碎片再入烧蚀预测与地面安全评估软件系统[J]. 航空学报, 2011, 32(3): 390-399.

HU Ruifeng, WU Ziniu, QU Xi, WANG Xiang. Debris Reentry and Ablation Prediction and Ground Risk Assessment Software System[J]. ACTA AERONAUTICAET ASTRONAUTICA SINICA, 2011, 32(3): 390-399.

参考文献

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E-mail：hkxb@buaa.edu.cn

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主管单位：中国科学技术协会主办单位：中国航空学会北京航空航天大学

空间碎片再入烧蚀预测与地面安全评估软件系统

Debris Reentry and Ablation Prediction and Ground Risk Assessment Software System

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