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基于异构神经网络的模型可信度模糊评估方案(ICGNC增刊)

李轲帆1,陈柏屹1,刘燕斌2,陈金宝2   

  1. 1. 南京航空航天大学
    2. 南京航空航天大学航天学院
  • 收稿日期:2026-06-22 修回日期:2026-08-25 出版日期:2026-09-02 发布日期:2026-09-02
  • 通讯作者: 陈柏屹
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金

A Fuzzy Evaluation Scheme for Model Credibility Based on Heterogeneous Neural Networks (ICGNC Supplement)

  • Received:2026-06-22 Revised:2026-08-25 Online:2026-09-02 Published:2026-09-02
  • Contact: Bo-Yi CHEN
  • Supported by:
    National Natural Science Foundation of China

摘要: 为解决飞行控制建模过程中等效模型可信度评估参数众多、比较维度复杂、流程繁琐的问题,设计了一套由神经网络与模糊评判框架构成的评估方案。首先介绍了该任务情境下参数分类与处理流程,以及模糊评判框架的运作机理。然后详细阐述了四分支异构神经网络的结构组成和损失函数设计。随后以某飞行拦截器为例进行了完整评估流程示范,并对神经网络进行特征维度与超参数的调优。最后将常规评估路径与神经网络评估路径的受控扰动模型评估结果进行比对,二者所评模型的总体可信度排名与可信度得分均具有较高一致性。通过对比实验发现分三阶段引入损失相较于一次性引入全部损失效果提升了31.5%,证实了分阶段训练策略的必要性。此外,发现随着待评估模型数量的增加,神经网络评估路径较常规误差处理评估路径加速比整体呈现上升趋势,彰显了其高效性。该评估方法具有推广价值。

关键词: 模型可信度评估, 模糊评判框架, 四分支异构神经网络, 损失函数, 分阶段训练策略

Abstract: To address the challenges of flight control modeling—namely, the large number of parameters involved in assessing the reliability of equivalent models, the complexity of comparison dimensions, and the cumbersome evaluation process—an evaluation scheme combining neural networks and a fuzzy evaluation framework was designed. First, the paper introduces the parameter classification and processing workflow for this task, as well as the operational mechanism of the fuzzy evaluation framework. It then details the structural composition and loss function design of a four-branch heterogeneous neural network. Subsequently, this paper uses a specific type of interceptor as an example to demonstrate a complete evaluation process, including feature dimension adjustment and hyperparameter tuning of the neural network. Finally, we compared the evaluation results of the controlled perturbation model between the conventional evaluation approach and the neural network evaluation approach; the overall reliability rankings and reliability scores of the models evaluated by both approaches showed a high degree of consistency. Comparative experiments revealed that introducing the loss in three stages resulted in a 31.5% improvement in performance compared to introducing the entire loss at once, confirming the necessity of a staged training strategy. Furthermore, it was found that as the number of models to be evaluated increased, the acceleration ratio of the neural network evaluation path compared to the conventional error-handling evaluation path showed an overall upward trend, highlighting its efficiency. This study indicates that this evaluation method has significant potential for broader application.

Key words: Model credibility assessment, A fuzzy evaluation framework, A four-branch heterogeneous neural network, Loss function, Phased training strategy

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