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ACTA AERONAUTICAET ASTRONAUTICA SINICA ›› 1999, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (2): 174-176.

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IMPROVEMENT ON PURE PROBABILITY MODEL FOR COMBAT EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS BY STOCHASTIC MODEL

Han Songchen   

  1. Civil Aviation College, Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics, Nanjing,210016
  • Received:1998-05-20 Revised:1998-10-10 Online:1999-04-25 Published:1999-04-25

Abstract:

The survival probability or the casualty probability of targets that attempt to penetrate the defended area along any flight path is an important effectiveness index whether to the battleplanes or to the weapon systems.This paper improved the computation model for this effectiveness by a stochastic service system theory.Under the influence of this improvement the exactness of computation of the effectiveness index is advanced obviously.

Key words: effectiveness analysis, st ochastic service system theory, stochastic model

CLC Number: