航空学报 > 1993, Vol. 14 Issue (9): 467-474

随机型多目标决策的新方法

冯俊文   

  1. 华东工学院软科学研究所 南京 210014
  • 收稿日期:1992-01-17 修回日期:1992-11-27 出版日期:1993-09-25 发布日期:1993-09-25

A NEW METHOD FOR MULTI-OBJECTIVE STOCHASTIC DECISION MAKING AND ITS APPLICATIONS

Feng Jun-wen   

  1. Soft Science Research Institute, East China Institute of Technology, Nanjng, 210014
  • Received:1992-01-17 Revised:1992-11-27 Online:1993-09-25 Published:1993-09-25

摘要: 设计了一种多目标随机型决策分析新方法——交互式参考目标满足度与可行度法(IRGSD-FD),讨论了随机型决策分析的希望水平原则、解及替代模型的定义和确定性等价等问题,并对IRGSD-FD的应用结果进行了讨论。

关键词: 随机型决策, 多目标决策, 交互式方法, 决策分析

Abstract: This paper is devoted to studying the mulii-objective stochastic decision making problem. A multi-objective stochastic decision making analysis method-Interactive ReferenceGoal Satisfied Degree and Feasible Degree (IRGSD-FD) method is developed, with the aspiration level principle for multi objective stochastic decision making analysis, the definitions of the solutions and surrogate models, and determinative equivalence problems, etc., being, discussed. The application results for IRGSD FD method are analysed, with Some useful results being obtained. The implementation of IRGSD FD method for stochastic decision making includes eight steps: (1) obtainment of the decision maker's initial reference goal level; (2) generation of the initial surrogate objective function and initial efficient solution; (3) evaluation of multiple attribute utility function of the decision maker for satisfied degree and feasible degrees (4) redefination of the sarrogate objective function; (5) generation of the efficient solution to be selected; (6) interaction with the decision maker; (7) test for compatibility; (8) generation of the new surrogate objective function and solution space.

Key words: multi-objective decision making, method, decision analysis stochastic decision making, interactive