人为盗油案件是危害油气管线安全的主要形式之一，采用无人机对管线进行监控具有高效、灵活、不受地形限制等优势。本文通过建立无人机管线巡查的数学概率模型，定量研究影响事件检出概率的因素，提出提高事件检出概率的方法；通过定量研究不同任务模式及其组合下巡查方案的事件检出概率，与无人机总体设计相联系，总结出基于目标的无人机总体和方案协同设计方法；最后对比分析并优选出最佳方案。
The frequent occurrence of man-made oil-stolen cases is one of the most severe threaten for the security of pipelines. The unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) patroling system is able to monitor long-distance pipelines with high effiecne, dispite the varies terrain. Therefore, a probabilistic model on mathematic was established to quantify the factors that effect the detection probability; Methods that can boost the detecting probability was proposed; Calculation of detection probability in different model of patroaling scheme together with its combination were figured out; The method of scheme disigning was summarized with the cooperation of the UVA conceptual design, which is based on the task of mission. And finally, the optimal scheme were devised based on the detecting probability.
[1]Li L, Ah J, LanZhou.The study and Realization of Grading Modeling Risk Assessment for Buried Gas Pipline[D]. 2014.
[2]李炜, 朱芸.长输管线泄漏检测与定位方法分析[J].[J].天然气工业, 2005, 06:105-109
[3]Huang Y, Zhou Z, Jia X.A Leak Detection Method Based Scada System[D]. Hangzhou: 2004.
[4]Ellis N.Inspection of Power Transscheme Lines using UAVs[D]. University of Southern Queensland, 2003.
[5]Bruggemann T S, Ford J J, A.R. Control of Aircraft for Inspection of Linear Infrastructure[J].IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology, 2011, 19(6):1397-1409
[6]孙泽民, 王建宏.长输管道管理现状分析及其对策[J].[J].安全、健康和环境, 2007, 09:37-38
[7]陈振友.输油管线打孔盗油作案的特点分析及防范措施[J].[J].石油库与加油站, 2010, 03:12-14
[8]赵述合, 张权, 叶辉.浅谈管道打孔盗油形式及防范[J].[J].今日科苑, 2009, 02:86-86
[9]常文见, 孟凡辉, 王仓, 等.无人机遥感技术在长输管道中的应用探讨[J].[J].价值工程, 2013, 32:197-198
[10]李器宇, 张拯宁, 柳建斌, 等.无人机遥感在油气管道巡检中的应用[J].[J].红外, 2014, 03:37-42
[11]夏国清, 陈红召, 王元慧.基于闭排队网络的飞机出动架次率分析[J].[J].系统工程学报, 2011, 05:686-693
[12]Sarma V V S, Ramchand K, Rao A K.Queuing Models for Estimating Aircraft[J].IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 1977, 26(4):253-256
[13]李延平.太阳能/氢能混合动力小型无人机总体设计[D]. 北京: 北京理工大学, 2014.
[14]张秦岭, 黄建, 刘晓倩.长航时太阳能无人机总体设计方法和分析[J].空军工程大学学报. 自然科学版, 2014, 15(2):12-15
[15]Raymer D P.Aircraft Design: A Conceptual Approach[M]. 370 L'Enfant Promenade, S.W., Washington, D.C.20024: AIAA Inc., 1992.
[16]Noth.Design of Solar Powered Airplanes for Continuous Flight[D]. ETH Zurich, 2008.
[17]C.O U, C. W C. Design of a Fuel Cell Powered Uav for Envirnomental Research: 3rd 'Unmanned Unlimited' Technical Conference, Workshop and Exhibit, Chicago, Illinois, 2004[C].
[18]Ltd.P.H.T.C.Eos series Data Sheet[EB/OL].
[19]Ltd.P.H.T.C.Phys Series Data Sheet[EB/OL].
[20]刘斌, 马晓平, 王和平, 等.小型电动无人机总体参数设计方法研究[J].西北工业大学学报, 2005, 23(3):396-400
CJA