发展综述与需求论证

面向航线网络体系的客机设计指标权衡方法

  • 刘虎 ,
  • 田永亮 ,
  • 刘宇轩 ,
  • 孙奕捷 ,
  • 吴光辉
展开
  • 1. 北京航空航天大学航空科学与工程学院航空器先进设计技术工业和信息化部重点实验室, 北京 100083;
    2. 中国民航科学技术研究院航空安全研究所, 北京 100028;
    3. 中国商用飞机有限责任公司, 上海 200210
刘虎 男,博士,副教授。主要研究方向:飞行器总体设计、虚拟仿真、体系工程。Tel:010-82339801,E-mail:liuhu@buaa.edu.cn;田永亮 男,博士研究生。主要研究方向:飞行器总体设计、虚拟仿真、体系工程。Tel:010-82315871,E-mail:tianyongliang@ase.buaa.edu.cn;刘宇轩 男,博士研究生。主要研究方向:飞行器总体设计、虚拟仿真。Tel:010-82315871,E-mail:781943524@qq.com;孙奕捷 女,博士,高级工程师。主要研究方向:航空安全管理。Tel:010-64473556,E-mail:sunyj@mail.castc.org.cn;吴光辉 男,博士,博士生导师。主要研究方向:飞行器总体设计。E-mail:comacdesigner@163.com

收稿日期: 2015-09-15

  修回日期: 2015-10-16

  网络出版日期: 2015-10-27

基金资助

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金

Civil aircraft design indexes trade-off method based on airline network system of systems

  • LIU Hu ,
  • TIAN Yongliang ,
  • LIU Yuxuan ,
  • SUN Yijie ,
  • WU Guanghui
Expand
  • 1. Key Laboratory of Aircraft Advanced Design Technology, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, School of Aeronautic Science and Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100083, China;
    2. Institute for Aviation Safety, China Academy of Civil Aviation Science and Technology, Beijing 100028, China;
    3. Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China Ltd., Shanghai 200210, China

Received date: 2015-09-15

  Revised date: 2015-10-16

  Online published: 2015-10-27

Supported by

the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

摘要

为了通过客机的市场分析与总体设计的紧密结合进行关键设计指标的更充分的权衡,提出了从航线网络体系的视角进行指标集效能评价的方法。这一方法以燃油效率作为经济性评价准则,基于运营统计数据建立综合考虑航线航程概率及航线实际乘客数概率的运输周转量概率密度分布,结合客机运行空重的估算,计算出各条航线消耗的燃油重量,进而通过多轮次的仿真分析出不同指标集对应的燃油效率概率密度。分析结果有助于权衡各个指标集的潜在设计方案适合在何种航线上运营,以及从燃油效率的角度分析潜在设计方案对航空公司的吸引力。通过在一个算例中对航程和载客量的变化进行计算和分析,说明了所提方法的应用方式,最后对目前研究的局限之处和后续的研究方向进行了探讨。

本文引用格式

刘虎 , 田永亮 , 刘宇轩 , 孙奕捷 , 吴光辉 . 面向航线网络体系的客机设计指标权衡方法[J]. 航空学报, 2016 , 37(1) : 96 -111 . DOI: 10.7527/S1000-6893.2015.0284

Abstract

In order to make more sufficient trade-off of key design indexes by combining the airliner market analysis with aircraft conceptual design,a design index sets evaluation method is proposed from the perspective of airline network system of systems.Fuel efficiency is considered as economic evaluation criteria in this method,and the probability density distribution of traffic volume which involves range probability and actual passenger number probability of the airlines is established based on the airline operational statistics.Combining with aircraft take-off weight estimation,the fuel weight of each airline is calculated,and then the probability density of fuel efficiency for different design index sets is obtained through multiple rounds of simulation.The analytical results are helpful to trade-off each design set for its most fitting operation airline,and they can also evaluate the attraction for airline companies from the perspective of fuel efficiency.The design index change of range and passenger number is analyzed through a case study and the application of proposed method is also demonstrated.Then the limitations of current research and future research direction are discussed.

参考文献

[1] 顾诵芬.飞机总体设计[M].北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,2001:1-15.GU S F.Aircraft conceptual/preliminary design[M].Beijing:Beihang University Press,2001:1-15(in Chinese).
[2] JENKINSON L R,SIMPKIN P,RHODES D.民用喷气飞机设计[M].李光里,吴兴世,华俊,等,译.北京:中国航空研究院,2001:10-14.JENKINSON L R,SIMPKIN P,RHODES D.Civil jet aircraft design[M].LI G L,WU X S,HUA J,et al.,translated.Beijing:Aviation Research Institute of China,2001:10-14(in Chinese).
[3] 空中客车A380:21世纪的新旗舰[J].中国民用航空,2007,82(10):62-64.Airbus A380:Flagship in the 21st Century[J].Chinese Civil Aviation,2007,82(10):62-64(in Chinese).
[4] 马丽元.南航A380持续亏损:是水土不服还是暂时失利[N].中国航空报,2013-08-24.MA L Y.China Southern Airlines A380 continuously adverse:Is it unacclimatized or a temporary loss[N].Chinese Aviation Newspaper,2013-08-24(in Chinese).
[5] SPROLES N.Formulating measures of effectiveness[J].System Engineering,2002,5(4):253-263.
[6] BILTGEN PT.Technology evaluation for system of systems[C]//JAMSHIDI M,editor.System of Systems Engineering:Principles and Applications.New York:CRC Press,2009:133-158.
[7] Wikipedia.System_of_systems[EB/OL].San Francisco,CA:Wikimedia Foundation,Inc.,2014.(2014-08-14)[2014-11-28].http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_of_systems.
[8] MAIER M W.Architecting principles for systems-of-systems[J].Systems Engineering,1998,1(4):267-284.
[9] FAA.NextGen implementation plan[EB/OL].Washington,D.C.:U.S.Department of Transportation,Federal Aviation Administration,2014.(2014-11-17)[2014-12-16].http://www.faa.gov/nextgen/.
[10] LIU H,TIAN Y L,ZHANG C Y,et al.Evaluation model of design for operation and architecture of hierarchical virtual simulation for flight vehicle design[J].Chinese Journal of Aeronautics,2012,25(2):216-226.
[11] LIU H,TIAN Y L,GAO Y,et al.System of systems oriented flight vehicle conceptual design:Perspectives and progresses[J].Chinese Journal of Aeronautics,2015,28(3):617-635.
[12] 丁鼎,张云飞.民机概念阶段最佳航程估算方法[J].飞机设计,2011,31(1):9-12.DING D,ZHANG Y F.Optimal range calculation method for the conceptual design of civil aircraft[J].Aircraft Design,2011,31(1):9-12(in Chinese).
[13] 蒙文巩,马东立,崔飞.民用飞机系列商载航程匹配设计[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2013,39(2):210-214.MENG W G,MA D L,CUI F.Matching design for payload and range of civil aircraft family[J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2013,39(2):210-214(in Chinese).
[14] 徐丽华,冯宗宪.从运输弹性系数看陕西航空运输的发展[J].统计与决策,2006,1(2):79-80.XU L H,FENG Z X.From the transport elasticity coefficient to view the development of air transportation in Shaanxi province[J].Statistics and Decision,2006,1(2):79-80(in Chinese).
[15] 付连军.铁路提速对民航客运影响的实证分析[J].郑州航空工业管理学院学报,2005,23(1):29-32.FU L J.Demonstration analysis on the effects of increating the train velocity to civil aviation's passenger traffic[J].Journal of Zhengzhou Institute of Aeronautical Industry Management,2005,23(1):29-32(in Chinese).
[16] 林辉.我国机场旅客吞吐量增长动态的区域分析[J].中国民用航空,2005,49(1):67-69.LIN H.Regional analysis of passenger handling capacity improving trends[J].Chinese Civil Aviation,2005,49(1):67-69(in Chinese).
[17] MANE M,CROSSLEY W A,NUSAWARDHANA A.System-of-systems inspired aircraft sizing and airline resource allocation via decomposition[J].Journal of Aircraft,2007,44(4):1222-1235.
[18] TAYLOR C,WECK O L.Coupled vehicle design and network flow optimization for air transportation systems[C]//7th AIAA Aviation Technology,Integration and Operations Conference.Reston:AIAA,2007:1-18.
[19] 罗杰.航空运输燃油效率影响因素分析[D].天津:中国民用航空飞行学院,2009:18-22.LUO J.Analysis of the factors affecting fuel efficiency of air transportation[D].Tianjin:Civil Aviation Flight University of China,2009:18-22(in Chinese).
[20] 王岩华.美国航企燃油效率大调查,阿拉斯加航空最高[EB/OL].民航资源网.(2013-09-11)[2015-08-18].http://news.carnoc.com/list/261/261127.html.WANG Y H.American airline corporation fuel efficiency survey,Alaska Airlines is the best[EB/OL].Civil Aviation Resource website.(2013-09-11)[2015-08-18].http://news.carnoc.com/list/261/261127.html(in Chinese).
[21] 聂翠蓉,陈丹.空客新飞机燃油效率将提升20%[N].科技日报,2014-09-25.NIE C R,CHEN D.Airbus new airplane fuel efficiency will increase 20%[N].Science and Technology Daily,2014-09-25(in Chinese).
[22] 中国民用航空局发展计划司.2013年全国民航航班运行效率报告[R].北京:中国民航出版社,2014:3-4.The Development Planning Department of Civil Aviation Administration of China.The national civil aviation flight operation efficiency report of 2013[R].Beijing:China Civil Aviation Press,2014:3-4(in Chinese).
[23] 中国民用航空局发展计划司.2014年全国民航航班运行效率报告[R].北京:中国民航出版社,2015:21-31.The Development Planning Department of Civil Aviation Administration of China.The national civil aviation flight operation efficiency report of 2014[R].Beijing:China Civil Aviation Press,2015:21-31(in Chinese).
[24] 张伯生,刘飞.实现航班计划优化的动态规划模型[J].上海工程技术大学学报,2004,18(2):135-140.ZHANG B S,LIU F.Dynamic programming model for airline optimization[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Engineering Science,2004,18(2):135-140(in Chinese).
[25] 柏明国.航空公司航线网络优化设计问题研究[D].南京:南京航空航天大学,2006:71-74.BO M G.Research on optimization design problems of airline network[D].Nanjing:Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2006:71-74(in Chinese).
[26] 中国民用航空局发展计划司.从统计看民航2011[R].北京:中国民航出版社,2011:96-119.The Development Planning Department of Civil Aviation Administration of China.From statistics to view civil aviation[R].Beijing:China Civil Aviation Press,2011:96-119(in Chinese).
[27] ROSKAM J.Airplane design Part I:Preliminary sizing of airplanes[M].Ottawa:Roskam Aviation and Engineering Corporation,1985:15-20.
[28] Anylogic中国.Anylogic软件简介[EB/OL].北京:Anylogic 中国,2015.(2015-4-11)[2015-8-15].http://www.anylogic-china.com/about/.Anylogic China.Introduction to Anylogic software [EB/OL].Beijing:Anylogic China,2015.(2015-04-11) [2015-08-15].http://www.anylogic-china.com/about/(in Chinese).

文章导航

/