摘要： 未来战争对体系作战的需求不仅仅是靠规模"以量取胜"，更要有战术上的智谋"以活胜僵"。通过干扰敌方对我方的意图推断，甚至设计出让敌方相信的假意图，能够在双方的博弈中塑造态势，取得先手，从顶层设计和战术策略上掌握主动权。运用无人机对敌方组网雷达进行航迹欺骗就是一种有效的对抗手段，能够在实现对敌探测的同时，消耗敌方雷达组网的计算资源，干扰敌方雷达及幕后指挥员对我方作战意图的推断，同时提高己方态势感知能力和生存力。本文首先介绍了航迹欺骗干扰的概念，并以时间为序，分类梳理了国内外各研究团队在航迹欺骗领域取得的技术成果；然后针对航迹欺骗干扰的特点，详细分析了虚假航迹设计和生成、由不确定性误差导致的估计问题、延时转发策略和同源检验准则、以及动力学约束问题等4个方面的关键问题和技术难点；最后展望了航迹欺骗的应用前景和下一步研究方向。

关键词: 航迹欺骗, 无人机, 雷达组网, 意图推断, 体系作战

Abstract: The demand for system operations in future wars is not only to "win with quantity" by scale, but also to have tactical wisdom to "win by flexibility". Only by interfering with the enemy's inference of our intention, or even designing false intentions to confuse the enemy battlefield awareness, can we shape the situation in the game between the two sides, and gain the initiative in the top-level design and strategic tactics. An effective countermeasure to cheat the enemy's network radars is to use UAV swarms which, in addition to detecting the enemy, consume the computing resources of the enemy's network radars, and interfere with the enemy's inference of our intention, thereby improving the perception ability and survival ability of our side. The concept and the current progress of phantom track deception is introduced, followed by analyses of the key problems and technical difficulties according to the characteristics of phantom track deception jamming, involving phantom design and generation, estimation problems caused by uncertain errors, the time delay strategy and same source testing rule, and dynamic constraints. The application prospect and the future research direction of phantom track deception are provided.

Key words: phantom track deception, UAVs, radar networks, intention inference, system operations

中图分类号: 

• V249