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基于巡视方案事件检出概率的长距管线无人机总体设计(总体设计专刊)

王翔宇1,王跃2,鲍蕊3,蒋崇文4,万志强2   

  1. 1. 北京航空航天大学航空科学与工程学院飞机系
    2. 北京航空航天大学航空科学与工程学院
    3. 北京航空航天大学航空科学与工程学院固体力学研究所
    4. 北京航空航天大学
  • 收稿日期:2015-09-09 修回日期:2015-11-03 发布日期:2015-11-04
  • 通讯作者: 鲍蕊
  • 基金资助:
    国家”973”项目

Conceptual Design for Long-distance Pipeline Patrolling UVA based on detectable probability of Patrolling Scheme

  • Received:2015-09-09 Revised:2015-11-03 Published:2015-11-04
  • Contact: BAO Rui

摘要: 人为盗油案件是危害油气管线安全的主要形式之一,采用无人机对管线进行监控具有高效、灵活、不受地形限制等优势。本文通过建立无人机管线巡查的数学概率模型,定量研究影响事件检出概率的因素,提出提高事件检出概率的方法;通过定量研究不同任务模式及其组合下巡查方案的事件检出概率,与无人机总体设计相联系,总结出基于目标的无人机总体和方案协同设计方法;最后对比分析并优选出最佳方案。

关键词: 油气管线, 事件检出概率, 概率模型, 无人机总体设计, 方案设计

Abstract: The frequent occurrence of man-made oil-stolen cases is one of the most severe threaten for the security of pipelines. The unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) patroling system is able to monitor long-distance pipelines with high effiecne, dispite the varies terrain. Therefore, a probabilistic model on mathematic was established to quantify the factors that effect the detection probability; Methods that can boost the detecting probability was proposed; Calculation of detection probability in different model of patroaling scheme together with its combination were figured out; The method of scheme disigning was summarized with the cooperation of the UVA conceptual design, which is based on the task of mission. And finally, the optimal scheme were devised based on the detecting probability.

Key words: pipeline, detection probability, probabilistic model, UAV conceptual design, schematic design

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